Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.002991 0.003346 0.003718 0.004133 0.004585 0.005061 0.005598
2024-10-27 0.002422 0.002918 0.003467 0.004114 0.004854 0.005670 0.006634
2024-11-03 0.002049 0.002610 0.003255 0.004047 0.004985 0.006054 0.007356
2024-11-10 0.001798 0.002402 0.003123 0.004035 0.005147 0.006448 0.008073
2024-11-17 0.001587 0.002215 0.002988 0.003996 0.005256 0.006765 0.008689
2024-11-24 0.001470 0.002132 0.002970 0.004088 0.005518 0.007262 0.009523
2024-12-01 0.001293 0.001953 0.002812 0.003987 0.005524 0.007434 0.009955
2024-12-08 0.001177 0.001843 0.002734 0.003980 0.005641 0.007741 0.010554
2024-12-15 0.001131 0.001826 0.002776 0.004130 0.005963 0.008312 0.011496
2024-12-22 0.001059 0.001765 0.002753 0.004186 0.006159 0.008721 0.012235
2024-12-29 0.001014 0.001740 0.002775 0.004303 0.006436 0.009240 0.013125
2025-01-05 0.000975 0.001721 0.002804 0.004428 0.006725 0.009778 0.014049
2025-01-12 0.000866 0.001586 0.002661 0.004305 0.006672 0.009864 0.014385
2025-01-19 0.000793 0.001504 0.002589 0.004280 0.006754 0.010132 0.014970
2025-01-26 0.000717 0.001409 0.002491 0.004212 0.006768 0.010304 0.015424
2025-02-02 0.000661 0.001343 0.002434 0.004199 0.006859 0.010581 0.016024
2025-02-09 0.000605 0.001271 0.002362 0.004159 0.006905 0.010795 0.016538
2025-02-16 0.000581 0.001255 0.002378 0.004254 0.007155 0.011298 0.017463
2025-02-23 0.000520 0.001166 0.002271 0.004150 0.007099 0.011363 0.017770
2025-03-02 0.000482 0.001118 0.002226 0.004142 0.007188 0.011636 0.018374
2025-03-09 0.000476 0.001127 0.002281 0.004297 0.007530 0.012282 0.019522
2025-03-16 0.000453 0.001104 0.002277 0.004355 0.007721 0.012710 0.020363
2025-03-23 0.000442 0.001103 0.002311 0.004476 0.008013 0.013291 0.021432